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Texas High School Football Ratings

Posted by Huckleberry on November 12th, 2009 under Football

EWP Ratings
Power Ratings
Matchup Analyzer

Let me know if you see any errors with the scores (you can click on a team to get to their team page which has their schedule). I hope to have a scores data file up later tonight as well as some Championship probabilities based on the brackets.

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34 Responses

  1. TXinDC said:

    November 12th, 2009 at 4:46 pm

    Wow. You, sir, are dedicated.

  2. HenryJames said:

    November 12th, 2009 at 4:49 pm

    Claude is too high.

  3. WWGDD said:

    November 12th, 2009 at 5:12 pm

    Where are the 95-96 Maroons??

  4. ftf said:

    November 12th, 2009 at 7:00 pm

    Uh, Westlake is not Austin Westlake. It’s Westlake…..

  5. Mysterious Package said:

    November 12th, 2009 at 7:33 pm

    Westlake will do

  6. Huckleberry said:

    November 12th, 2009 at 7:34 pm

    Uh, the UIL calls them Austin Westlake, they draw from Austin, and Westlake High School is located in the Austin extraterritorial jurisdiction limits.

    Personally, I don’t consider them an Austin high school either, but them’s the breaks.

  7. MaduroUTMB said:

    November 12th, 2009 at 8:13 pm

    I remember a pre-season game against Longview my freshman year (I played for Pine Tree, which is unfortunate enough to be in a district with Longview, Marshall, and Hallsville: Home of the Muckelroys). A 205 lb man with a goatee and tattoos threw my 130 lb ass into the air, and I turned over in time to see him catch a touchdown pass. Shortly thereafter, they really turned up the heat on us. They brought in a 6 foot 4 inch man shaped like a bowling ball who they hadn’t used before. He then proceeded to fall on our defensive tackles, which would’ve been less of a problem had my new friend from the wide receiving corps not been in the process of Donkey Konging the linebackers who were too dumb to flee.

    Good times….

  8. hobbeshorn said:

    November 12th, 2009 at 9:07 pm

    IP #463… at least we made the playoffs, and Area since we have a bye in 1st rd

  9. nelson said:

    November 12th, 2009 at 9:07 pm

    Lake Travis scored 37 pts in the first quarter tonight, put the Jv in and won 58-7

  10. hobbeshorn said:

    November 12th, 2009 at 9:08 pm

    Graham is too high, that school is always a letdown come playoff time

  11. mack tripper said:

    November 12th, 2009 at 9:45 pm

    Where is your ELO Chess version, Huck?

  12. Huckleberry said:

    November 12th, 2009 at 10:43 pm

    Probability forecasts for the playoffs (tonight’s games not considered):

    5A Division I
    5A Division II
    4A Division I
    4A Division II
    3A Division I
    3A Division II
    2A Division I
    2A Division II
    1A Division I
    1A Division II

  13. Bookman said:

    November 13th, 2009 at 5:47 am

    My hometown has a 9.5% chance of winning . . . so that means there’s a chance!

  14. Huckleberry said:

    November 13th, 2009 at 6:32 am

    I am aware of the following errors and will research and correct them as soon as possible, hopefully tonight:

    Katy Morton Ranch @ Richmond Foster Week 4 – TWICE
    Gorman and Tyler TK Gorman – Combined as one team? (3-11 record)
    Abilene Cooper @ Lewisville Hebron Week 4 – TWICE
    Houston Westside @ Dallas Adams Week 4 – TWICE
    Pittsburg @ Queen City AND Queen City @ Pittsburgh Week 3
    Brenham @ Houston Lamar AND Houston Lamar @ Brenham Week 2
    West @ Salado AND Salado @ West Week 0
    San Antonio Sam Houston @ San Antonio Edison AND San Antonio Edison @ San Antonio Sam Houston Week 3
    Corpus Christi Tuloso-Midway @ Raymondville AND Raymondville @ Corpus Christi Tuloso-Midway Week 0
    Rosenberg Terry @ Katy Mayde Creek Week 4 – TWICE
    Iraan @ Reagan County AND Reagan County @ Iraan Week 3
    Huffman Hargrave @ Houston Kashmere AND Houston Kashmere @ Huffman Hargrave Week 1
    Muleshoe @ Lubbock-Cooper Week 2 – TWICE
    South San Antonio @ Austin Crockett AND Austin Crockett @ South San Antonio Week 2
    Kyle Lehman @ Gonzales AND Gonzales @ Kyle Lehman Week 4
    Venus @ Palmer AND Palmer @ Venus Week 5
    Wortham @ Blooming Grove AND Blooming Grove @ Wortham Week 0
    Eagle Pass Winn @ Laredo Nixon AND Laredo Nixon @ Eagle Pass Winn Week 2
    Slaton @ Lockney AND Lockney @ Slaton Week 0
    Kountze @ Hull-Daisetta AND Hull-Daisetta @ Kountze Week 3
    Granger @ Little River Academy AND Little River Academy @ Granger Week 1

  15. ponderos said:

    November 13th, 2009 at 8:49 am


    Huckleberry said:

    November 12th, 2009 at 7:34 pm

    Uh, the UIL calls them Austin Westlake,

    Then the UIL is wrong. They’re two different school districts.

  16. Huckleberry said:

    November 13th, 2009 at 9:42 am

    Westlake isn’t a school district. I supposed you want them called Eanes Westlake.

    Except Eanes isn’t a city and the UIL refers to pretty much every school by city. In cases where the school is in a school district that shares the name of a city they frequently use that district’s name even if the school is in a different city by physical location (e.g., Round Rock Westwood is actually located in Austin).

    West Lake Hills Westlake? The school isn’t in West Lake Hills.
    Rollingwood Westlake? The school isn’t in Rollingwood.
    Westlake? There is no city or town called “Westlake” in the area.

    Jesus H. Christ, people, I went to Austin High. Do you think I would call them “Austin Westlake” if there was a more sensical alternative? I thought I was the most pedantic asshole around here.

  17. dedfischer said:

    November 13th, 2009 at 11:34 am

    I can’t fucking imagine how bad Premont must be. Claude lost all their talent.

  18. ponderos said:

    November 13th, 2009 at 12:38 pm

    Jesus H. Christ, people, I went to Austin High.

    and I lived in 78746 for 10 years.

    Thanks for the lesson, though. ;-)

  19. Huckleberry said:

    November 13th, 2009 at 1:08 pm

    You should take up the fight for the school listed as Austin Del Valle.

  20. homesickalien said:

    November 13th, 2009 at 1:14 pm

    Asking this question sincerely and not to be a dick…

    You say that UIL refers to every school by city. But you have all the Fort Bend schools (which is a county and a school district) as “Fort Bend Dulles” and “Fort Bend Clements”, etc.

    Why wouldn’t they be listed as Sugar Land Dulles or Sugar Land Clements?

    Again, not to be a dick, just interested in the methodology…

  21. HenryJames said:

    November 13th, 2009 at 1:26 pm

    Austin High sucks.

  22. dedfischer said:

    November 13th, 2009 at 1:37 pm

    The only schools ranked below Claude are the ones fielding non-English speaking teams.

  23. Huckleberry said:

    November 13th, 2009 at 1:41 pm

    Hence the “pretty much” every school by city. The FB schools are an exception, but I just go with what the UIL uses to avoid having to make decisions. Plus it makes it easier to get scores from the intertubes because that’s how the sites I tend to use list them.

  24. Huckleberry said:

    November 13th, 2009 at 1:43 pm

    Austin High -29 vs. Devine

  25. dedfischer said:

    November 13th, 2009 at 2:03 pm

    Score Prediction:

    Southlake Carroll 98
    Claude 0

    This thing is awesome. Austin High is only favored by 80.

  26. BornaHorn said:

    November 13th, 2009 at 2:05 pm

    Doesn’t Austin Westlake play in the same District with the 5A schools in Austin – i.e., Bowie, Crockett, Austin High, etc? I think McCallum and a couple of thers are now 4A.

  27. srr50 said:

    November 13th, 2009 at 2:33 pm

    Pflugerville and Bastrop are also in the 5A District with the Austin schools.

    Pflugerville Connally, a 4A school is actually located in Austin.

  28. Huckleberry said:

    November 13th, 2009 at 2:34 pm

    Yes, they do.

    ded – I’ve got that thing rigged not to show negative scores. The offense and defense ratings are so mismatched for some teams that negative point totals are predicted. The formula for Carroll vs. Claude yields a final of 98.6 to -39.9 if it’s not set to display 0 instead of negative results. Perhaps I should set that up to display the negative number as zero and then add half its absolute value to the winning team’s score. Basically there’s a predicted margin of 138.5 points for that game. Which probably isn’t unrealistic at all as Carroll’s freshman B team would still be scoring on dive plays near the end.

  29. Huckleberry said:

    November 13th, 2009 at 2:36 pm

    Austin High 34
    Houston Strake Jesuit 16

    The analyzer definitely works.

  30. dedfischer said:

    November 13th, 2009 at 2:44 pm

    I think they run out of time before they can score 138. We have no answer for Jackson Richards.

  31. srr50 said:

    November 13th, 2009 at 3:41 pm

    Lake Travis 46
    Austin Hi! 15

    The analyzer definitely works.

  32. srr50 said:

    November 13th, 2009 at 9:46 pm

    matchup analyzer
    S.A. Reagan 22
    PFlugerville 18

    On the field tonight,

    Pflugerville 10
    S.A. Reagan 3
    Ha ha ha ha! Ha ha ha ha!

  33. Bookman said:

    November 14th, 2009 at 5:16 am

    Predicted: Port Lavaca Calhoun 36, Uvalde 12

    Actual: Port Lavaca Calhoun 38, Uvalde 3

  34. Mysterious Package said:

    November 14th, 2009 at 8:51 am

    Never understood Austin Westlake term. Its Austin High, Lake Travis. Not Austin Austin High, or Lake Travis Lake Travis? UIL calls it Tyler John Tyler, so it doesnt make sense in general. If we have to put a city with Westlake, maybe Straford Wesltake

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