Football Articles
The First TX/OU Preview
Posted by Huckleberry on October 11th, 2009 under Football
Here is the short version. You can also use the matchup analyzer to run a slightly more detailed version.
You’ll notice that the yardage and turnover stats are actually slightly in OU’s favor. The overall prediction, though, is based purely on point results from games played. Basically the thing keeping us favored by the system is our defensive and special teams TDs this year. No shock there, of course.
I really, really hope that we were saving something. Common sense and historical trends tell me differently. Let’s hope Muschamp’s defense brings the pain.
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Nate Heupel wrote a new blog post: Metoyer Commits to OU and a Brief Commentary on Life ago
In these dark and desperate times, sometimes a little good news goes a long way. For example, my wife just had our first child, we haven’t had sex in 5 weeks, and I just discovered that the two issues are entirely unrelated. Essentially, my existence is a combination of the worst parts of
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GoHornsGo90 commented on the blog post There’s Something about Avery. 2 minutes ago
This team makes me feel like I have all this weight on my shoulders and I can’t get it off my back to just breath and walk freely.
Yeah there are times that it goes away, like when we get another football recruit not named Chet or Taylor. Or when I think about a starting
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GoHornsGo90 commented on the blog post Texas Hoops vs. Baylor: Post-Mortem, kinda 15 minutes ago
smh:
The Travelocity at PG made the entire day worth it. That was freakin’ hilarious
beowulf:
You took what I would try to say and made it, you know, really fucking funny.
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Ojnab Bob commented on the blog post Rick Reilly Is A Walking Amber Alert 26 minutes ago
Rick Reilly’s articles invariably remind me of that Simpsons episode where Bart becomes a TV celebrity with his saccharine “Bart’s People”. I almost expect Rick to end each column with “Hmmm… really makes you think.”
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ursa major wrote a new blog post: Baylor v. Kansas State – Preview 31 minutes ago
Loss in Waco = Win in Kansas City?
Tonight the Bears get their second crack of the year at Kansas State. The first time we played K State in Waco, we managed to lose the game despite being more efficient than K State offensively. While K State did outshoot us by 9%, and outrebounded us 36-32,
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Kevin Berger commented on the blog post Guard Play: You Have it or You don’t Have IT 32 minutes ago
Thanks, St. Emilion.
That’s a good choice, but UNC was so good that Ty didn’t stand out as much as he should have.
Mateen Cleaves, Khalid El Amin, Ty Edney, those were some other tournament war daddies that come to mind along with Lawson.
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kevwun commented on the blog post There’s Something about Avery. 33 minutes ago
That is the most awesome analogy in the history of analogies, imo. Seriously, I usually don’t like them because they rarely ever actually describe a situation well, but that one is perfect.
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Orangeblood79 commented on the blog post There’s Something about Avery… 57 minutes ago
I’m so fucking sick of this team.
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Nickel Rover commented on the blog post There’s Something about Avery… 1 hour, 3 minutes ago
Ugh…if Hamilton and Bradley ditch for the NBA I’ll start to move out of the Rick Barnes camp because this team doesn’t have a great contingency for that event. Especially if Varez Ward can’t come back healthy.
That would take away probably the 2 best shooters on the team and replace them with Dogus, Ward, Brown, -
Patrick Bateman commented on the blog post There’s Something about Avery… 1 hour, 6 minutes ago
Ha, ha…..Got me there Ursa. Was typing fast. Good catch.
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Patrick Bateman commented on the blog post Texas Hoops vs. Baylor: Post-Mortem, kinda 1 hour, 7 minutes ago
Milk,
I don’t think JCB is going to sit at the end of the bench though. He needs to understand what his coach and team needs. Better sustained effort, better ball protection, and better defense. He has offensive skills that someone like Justin Mason just doesn’t possess, but yet lacks the physical talent
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ursa major commented on the blog post There’s Something about Avery… 1 hour, 11 minutes ago
Is Kyle Lomers Josh Lomers alter-ego? Or is Kyle the “girl” he sometimes dresses up as?
Either works.
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GoHornsGo90 commented on the blog post There’s Something about Avery… 1 hour, 12 minutes ago
George Hill is physically intimidating–he’s ripped and extremely strong. Bradley is extremely weak and has TERRIBLE upper-body strength. This directly correlates with his miserable finishing ability (or lack of).
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Patrick Bateman commented on the blog post There’s Something about Avery… 1 hour, 16 minutes ago
I think AB had had an extremely good freshman season and very much agree that he’s hit that freshman wall. AB still has a lot of work to do. Comparing him to the 24 year old Hill may be a disservice to Avery, but I understand where your trying to go. I
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jonestopten wrote a new blog post: There’s Something about Avery. 1 hour, 30 minutes ago
Trips Right’s 33 volume Decline and Fall of Texas Basketball has not only been required post-disaster therapy for the Longhorn basketball fan (what is your hourly rate, anyway?) but also merits combat pay from BC’s executive management.But there is one organ left in the vivisection of Rick Barnes that keeps bugging me: his arguably atrocious
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ghostofagroundgame wrote a new blog post: Arshavin is the Best 1 hour, 50 minutes ago
Andrey Arshavin has a website where he takes questions from his fans and, apparently, types his own responses. It is AMAZING.
There is really almost nothing that I can add to this, but it’s so great it deserves its own post. Among the highlights — Arshavin giving marriage advice, Arshavin discussing whether he considers rain to
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Magnus Bleuveigner commented on the blog post Notre Dame Football: Images of the Decade (2000-2009) 1 hour, 55 minutes ago
Thanks Whiskey, but I’m too busy tryinig to verify if Colt and Shipley were indeed room mates.
It’s a joke. They always talked about him boxing, though I agree, he’s a tough dude. I loved the way he fearlessly returned punts straight up the gut at 100mph.
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texasengr commented on the blog post Rick Reilly Is A Walking Amber Alert 1 hour, 56 minutes ago
I absolutely hate Rick Reilly. He’s the single most annoying ESPN “analyst”… by far. He would be at home on CNN.
But since the following sentence appears to be right on the tip of your tongue the entire article, I’ll go ahead and say it. Fuck liberals. Look no further than the UK if you
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Kevin Berger wrote a new blog post: Guard Play: You Have it or You don’t Have IT 1 hour, 57 minutes ago
The best guards are puported to come from Chicago, Illinois because in the windy city, you either score at the goal, or you risk having our J pushed two feet off the mark thanks to the 30 mph winds whipping off Lake Michigan.
To that point about guard play, watching the Big East tournament
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Ag_in_TX wrote a new blog post: Mike Leach with some VERY hot sports opinions 2 hours, 36 minutes ago
Mike Leach after game speeches
Wow. Orangebloods got ahold of some videos of Mike Leach’s after game speeches. Good Lord. More f-bombs than a Quniton Tarintino movie. After the Baylor game – language is highly NSFW:
“We thought we were too good to play Texas Fuckin’ A&M”
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Kevin Berger commented on the blog post Texas Hoops vs. Baylor: Post-Mortem, kinda 2 hours, 44 minutes ago
milksteak, I don’t think that’ll be a problem.
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ghostofagroundgame commented on the blog post Rick Reilly Is A Walking Amber Alert 2 hours, 45 minutes ago
Yeah man, Northside v. Southside is old, old news, as is the bas blood there. Booker T is up around Acres Homes, and Yates is in the 3rd Ward.
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Magnus Bleuveigner commented on the blog post Rick Reilly Is A Walking Amber Alert 2 hours, 46 minutes ago
Or worse….
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ghostofagroundgame commented on the blog post That Silly Away Goals Rule 2 hours, 52 minutes ago
Yeah, but here’s the thing — you have to have some way to resolve draws. Endless extra time is impractical, because these games are played in the midst of regular league and domestic cup features — you just can’t play that much extar football. Penalty shots are even more arbitrary than away goals.
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Jorgrama commented on the blog post Texas Hoops vs. Baylor: Post-Mortem, kinda 2 hours, 56 minutes ago
DO you guys think Brown will be back with the team next year or do you think there’ll be some fallout in general?
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P.Drez commented on the blog post Tuesday Champions League: Quick Rundown 3 hours, 7 minutes ago
Ha, well put. I don’t think Arsenal will survive the quarterfinals unless they draw Sevilla. The field is too strong for them.
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P.Drez commented on the blog post That Silly Away Goals Rule 3 hours, 8 minutes ago
Mistakes from nerves should not be a reason to unjustly allow one goal to count as two. It goes against the true laws of the game. No other sport has a “point” (goal in this case) scored by one team counting for more than what it would for the other team. It
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baylorbeer commented on the blog post Baylor v. Texas – Postgame 3 hours, 14 minutes ago
Tweety and Lace are passionate. They are great team leaders. I love it when I see them jabbering creole at UT, showing they are absolutely not intimidated even though for some reason everyone else in the country thinks they should be. This includes the officials – John Higgens really needs to get
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Hiphopopotamus commented on the blog post Big XII Tourney: Day Three 3 hours, 27 minutes ago
Ginger: This team is just so content most of the time, though…drives me crazy.
I thought yesterday was the perfect example of why we could win it all, or get clipped at any time, as I’ve been harping for months now. If a team is fighting (and every team in the tourney will be), we just
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Hiphopopotamus commented on the blog post Big XII Tourney: Day Three 3 hours, 27 minutes ago
Ginger: This team is just so content most of the time, though…drives me crazy.
I thought yesterday was the perfect example of why we could win it all, or get clipped at any time, as I’ve been harping for months now. If a team is fighting (and every team in the tourney will be), we just
SHARETHIS.addEntry({ title: ””, url: ”” });
quigley said:
October 11th, 2009 at 2:33 pm
Assuming exceptional play from the OU OL (which has not been the case), the Sooners must also solve 2 other deficiencies to beat UT.
1. Catching the ball (11 drops vs. Baylor)
2. Covering TE and RB with LB’s
UT by 14-20
dick said:
October 11th, 2009 at 3:10 pm
I can’t predict anything anymore. Last week, I didn’t think even Greg Davis could blow this one. He proved me wrong.
BEHorn said:
October 11th, 2009 at 3:22 pm
“Saving something”. Oh, you bet we are — a li’l something that GD likes to call “Zone Runs”, where Colt gets the ball in the shotgun and hands it to a RB who runs sideways until he sees a hole and then rushes into it while it’s being filled with a linebacker.
Occasional twists including pulling the non-playside tackle and guard so that the DE away from the playside can run the play down from behind when the RB has to cut upfield to avoid playside penetration by the DE.
And don’t get me started on the Wild Horn — we’ve barely shown that AT ALL. Just wait’ll next week, baby!!
parlinhall said:
October 11th, 2009 at 3:56 pm
Huck, do you have the Over/Under on the following words coming through a headset sometime during the game?–
“Greg. Why don’t you pass the time by playing a little solitaire?”
Scipio Tex said:
October 11th, 2009 at 4:12 pm
UT opens up -3 over OU. Would have been -7.5 a week ago.
Heavily influenced by Bradford’s play against Baylor and our offense against CU.
uthookem said:
October 11th, 2009 at 5:39 pm
I told the fans around me we were playing like shit to get the line down against OU…
Groundhogday said:
October 11th, 2009 at 5:54 pm
How many catches will Malcolm Williams have against Missouri? And how many touches will D.J. Monroe have against Missouri? It should be a great display.
ransomstoddard said:
October 11th, 2009 at 6:46 pm
So ou loses its best te, its best receiver, and has a cripple at qb, and we are so inept that the line is UT by 3? If I was Mack I would be embarassed. Of course, he will clap his way right thru it.
flamingmonkeyass said:
October 11th, 2009 at 6:59 pm
And if Mack Brown were you, we’d be coached by a depressed alcoholic, that likes to read 19th century Russian literature by candle light and to stroll through pet stores punching puppies. Basically we’d be coached by even older, crazier Lou Holtz.
Thank God you’re not Mack Brown.
BEHorn said:
October 11th, 2009 at 7:52 pm
Texas -3? Fuck it, we WILL cover that. Muschamp’s asshole puckering alone is worth +5. And sure, last year the week before blowU we ran the ball to the tune of a gaudy 3.6 YPC (as opposed to half that this year), but I’m convinced that GD will somehow pull something out of his ass (a la Shipley at flex) that we score enough to win by 10.
I don’t know why I’m convinced of that — some unholy blend of a ransomstoddard post and my general loathing for the land thieves — but convinced I am. 27-17 Texas.
NateHeupel said:
October 11th, 2009 at 10:34 pm
I would love to see OU pull out an upset here, but, frankly, I don’t think this group has it in them. The defense was supposed to be good enough to win games if the offense was slumping. It’s not. Norvell was supposed to b have our young talent ready to be at least decent. They’re not. Bradford now has exactly no one reliable to throw to, an OL that can’t run block (or pass protect), and an offensive coordinator who tends to get cute with his play calling at inappropriate time.
Awesome.
bighornfan32 said:
October 11th, 2009 at 11:42 pm
This game sure hasn’t turned into a clash between two great teams playing at their highest level. Instead neither side has much faith in their offenses to score a point.
lurkerinthedark said:
October 12th, 2009 at 4:44 am
In four of five games, Texas has turned the ball over deep in their own field five times (counting punt miscues) allowing 27 points. A sixth turnover was turned around by Earl Thomas. This is not a good trend.
Another bad trend is the offense’s very slow starts in three of five games.
Even special teams have been a mixed bag for Texas, in spite of the TD returns.
On the other hand…
Rate the matchup: Greg Davis vs Brent Venables
No real hope there.
Rate the matchup: Will Muschamp vs Kevin Wilson
OK. I feel a little better.
BatesHorn said:
October 12th, 2009 at 7:35 am
I like the Horns, 16-9 in one of those SEC-esque unwatchable crap fests where one team gets a ST or Defensive touchdown and both teams spend the rest of the game exchanging punts and kicking long field goals.
texoz said:
October 12th, 2009 at 7:44 am
Here’s a stat for everyone to chew on.
Through five games in 2008 Colt McCoy had 45 rushes for 317 yards, which is an average of 7.04 yards. He also had 4 TDs
Through five games in 2009 Colt McCoy had 34 rushes for 58 yards, which is an average of 1.70 yards. He has 1 TD.
I believe these stats include sacks, which are as follows.
In 2008 there were 7 sacks for -56 yards.
In 2009 there are 5 sacks for -32 yards.
Here were the 2008 opponents vs 2009 opponents.
2008- Florida Atlantic, UTEP, Rice, Arkansas, CU
2009- ULM, Wyoming, T Tech, UTEP, CU
Opponents got a lot tougher later in the season and Colt finished with 136 rushes for 561 yards with 11 TDS.
Other tidbits. Against ULM and CU Colt had negative yards rushing, both were -3. Last season Colt only had one game with negative yardage and that was against Ohio State (-15).
Also, looking at last season’s game by game stats it seems obvious we showed Colt’s running ability in the first game against Florida Atlantic (12 rushes for 103 yards), but then pulled back until Big 12 play. He averaged 11.7 rushes per game against Big 12 teams vs 8.4 against non-Big 12.
Conclusions? Expect a lot more rushing from Colt. And probably more playing time from Gilbert because Colt will get dinged up.
hydromod said:
October 12th, 2009 at 8:50 am
Clearly the line reflects Mack’s dominating performance in games within 3 points. Since Mack doesn’t win by 5, 6, or 7 points, a line of 3 is almost the same as a line of 7, ergo a slip from 7.5 to 7 is almost the same as a slip from 7.5 to 3.
Ecurbmanchild said:
October 12th, 2009 at 8:50 am
Three things can happen when you run the ball and two of them are bad!!!!
Interpretation for all who will listen: Screw the run and the “wildfrickinhorn”. Just pass the ball!
freedezbryant said:
October 12th, 2009 at 8:56 am
Why run Colt if you don’t have to? The UT running game appears to be further along than it was at this point last year. If UT can run effectively without Colt running a lot they will be better for it.
LonghornScott said:
October 12th, 2009 at 10:02 am
“If UT can run effectively without Colt running a lot they will be better for it.”
Oh, that’s rich.
nordberg said:
October 12th, 2009 at 10:04 am
“The UT running game appears to be further along than it was at this point last year.”
You’re on crack.
texoz said:
October 12th, 2009 at 10:15 am
Those positive posts re: running game HAVE to be sarcasm, right?
PatronSaint said:
October 12th, 2009 at 10:29 am
“The UT running game appears to be further along than it was at this point last year.”
You’re on crack.
That’s because you forgot the negative coefficient in:
Running game versus OU = (-5)*Running game pre-OU.
seahagg said:
October 12th, 2009 at 12:49 pm
That’s because you forgot the negative coefficient in:
Running game versus OU = (-5)*Running game pre-OU.
This wasn’t the case last year. The Horns struggled early then rolled OU up on the ground.
NateHeupel said:
October 12th, 2009 at 2:27 pm
“This wasn’t the case last year. The Horns struggled early then rolled OU up on the ground.”
It had nothing to do with UT having a competent running game. UT played a complete game and when OU’s 2 minute offense had thoroughly worn out the defense, Greg Davis got smart and started running stretch plays to take advantage of OU’s utter inability to pursue laterally.
phi gam90 said:
October 12th, 2009 at 6:31 pm
I just love the fact that a week ago on this site most of you guys were predicting “prison poundings”, “gang rapes”, bludgeonings, and the like. Now, after Sam comes back and looks pretty good and you guys look like shit in the CU game, you guys are pissing down your legs with fear and self doubt.
Your D is better than last year, our D is better than last year, your special teams are still good, our special teams are much better than last year (don’t count on any return TDs this year) your running games sucks, our receiving game sucks, you have a douche for an OC, we have a douche for an OC.
This game will be a war. Pick ‘em
BTW, Flamingmonkeyass, is that your screen name? Or is that your pet name you got from your new “friends” while spending some time in the hole?
flamingmonkeyass said:
October 12th, 2009 at 7:01 pm
Actually it’s part of a quote. From what? You figure it out.
Why would be pissing down our legs with fear? Are we worried we’ll win for the fourth time in five years?
Oh and phi gam90, was your collar properly popped when you posted that?
texoz said:
October 12th, 2009 at 9:34 pm
I say it here, it comes out there.
LapuLapu said:
October 13th, 2009 at 5:43 am
We are going to win big, big I tell you. There I said it. Guys, relax. Mack and crew will unleash hell come Sat.
seahagg said:
October 13th, 2009 at 8:17 am
It had nothing to do with UT having a competent running game. UT played a complete game and when OU’s 2 minute offense had thoroughly worn out the defense, Greg Davis got smart and started running stretch plays to take advantage of OU’s utter inability to pursue laterally.
Two things. I think you mean when UT’s 2 minute offense wore their ass down. And second, you mean your gonna admit you got rolled without a competent running game ’cause they rolled ya.
You sooners crack me up. You brag on your depth on defense and then use getting tired as an excuse. Texas is a pass first team and then and we still ran up the rushing yards because you were too tired to run latterazlly??? BWAAAHHAAAAHAAA!!! Weak shit.
Who is pissing down their crimson coverall clad legs?