Football Articles
Barking Bets: Week 2
Posted by Trips Right on September 10th, 2009 under Football
A forgettable card until I look at my bank statement. I put too much stock in Tom O’Brien and Russell Wilson. O’Brien’s NC State offense made the wing T look innovative. Wilson looked like he was slower than Stephen Garcia. Perhaps a looming Major League contract would make us all a bit slower. So two nickels down there.
Ok State made about 4 plays from scrimmage on offense, had some big returns, and were the beneficiaries of a horrible personal foul call to lead to another touchdown. As for GA’s QB, the descriptor I give you is a dyslexic “Cox sucked”. He had swine flu, I understand. Another nickel gone.
I won some shekels on the Baylor game as I capped it to perfection. Wake couldn’t do anything offensively until the 4th quarter, and Robert Griffin made just enough plays to win the game. So to recap, 1-2 down two units for the day. But there’s always another week of betting as long as there’s dough in the old 529 plan. These are, after all, college expenses right?
Texas -33.5 at Wyoming. 3 units.
I rarely bet the Horns, and I rarely make the three unit diamond bet, but this strikes me as a really good spot for the heavy favorite. Laying 5 TD’s means there are obvious matchup advantages and I’ll get to those later, but the spot here is solid if you were paying attention to last Saturday’s 39 point blowout win. Unlike most blowouts, this one provided, how do I say, several coaching opportunities that will be directed at a few Longhorn players. And if you paid attention to the post game comments from various Texas coaches opportunities won’t be pleasant for the recipients. Texas will come out on fire on the defensive side of the ball this Saturday. You can bank on it.
Offensively, you could tell the Horns knew they could drop 50 on Monroe by being plain vanilla. McCoy was instructed not to run. Mal Williams was an afterthought on offense. And the only deep ball of the night went for 75 yards and a touch. Everything else was short or intermediate. If you can drop 50 on a club without exposing your stud QB to a pass rush from a team that blitzes 70% of the time, why do anything else. Which gets to me to the matchup portion of the write up.
On offense, Texas will be facing a team that rarely blitzes. Something like 30% of the time. The Cowboys rely on getting pressure with their front 4 which allows their young secondary to rely on safety help and jump a lot of the shorter routes. Versus Texas this works against Wyoming in a couple ways. First, they won’t be able to pressure McCoy with just 4. Despite all the woes Texas has running the ball, the Oline is a pass protection juggernaut and may be one of the top two or three units in the country in this respect.
Second, without the threat of the blitz, Texas can feel more comfortable playing DJ Monroe who struggles in pass pro, but happens to be the Longhorns’ most explosive running back. He had 7 yards per carry last week and an 89 yard kickoff return for a touch. We know Texas will chunk it all over the field against the Cowboys, and that has to worry you as a Cowboy backer because Wyoming gave up 322 yards passing to lowly Weber State. Look for McCoy to carve up this young Cowboy secondary, but don’t be surprised to see the Texas running game get untracked with chunks yards against a conservative Cowboy defense.
Defensively, the Horns will probably remain vanilla as they did against UL Monroe. The advantage here, though, is this Longhorn defense is very familiar with the offense former Mizzou OC Dave Christiansen will roll out this Saturday. You need to look no further than last year’s first half shutout of Mizzou to figure that out. Texas should be able to pressure the Cowboys by rushing just 4 but don’t be surprised if the Horns blitz a bit more in this game knowing the Cowboys pose more of a threat than ULA-Mon. Either way, the Cowboys will struggle to put up points without the benefit of big plays, as 3 of their 6 scoring drives started in Weber State territory last week. And you can bet Muschamp harped on big plays and busted assignments all week in practice. Simply put, the Cowboys will not be able to sustain drives against this defensive unit. They couldn’t against Weber State.
In summary, here’s the bet.
-Texas’ subpar performance, even if it was a 39 point blowout, will have them playing on a razor’s edge this week.
-Weber State was an onside kick away from beating Wyoming on their home turf.
-Weber State had nearly the same total yards as the Cowboys and threw for 322.
-Weber State threw 5 interceptions while the Cowboys played turnover free. I’d be shocked if McCoy threw more than one, and the Cowboys had less than three turnovers.
-Texas knows this Wyoming offense.
-Texas will be super excited to get out of the Texas heat. Temp for the game should be 60.
Give me Texas 52 to 10.
Pitt -10 at Buffalo. 2 units.
The fighting ’staches take on Buffalo in a game that amounts to a huge value play. This is the time to put on your Huckleberry cap. Last week, Buffalo was a 12 point dog on the road at UTEP. Let’s say UTEP’s homefield advantage is 3.5 and Buffalo’s home-field advantage is 3.5 as well. A seven point swing that would make UTEP a 5 point favorite at Buffalo. Pitt’s now -10 and UTEP would be -5. So the books are saying Pitt would be a 5 point favorite on a neutral vs. UTEP? Weird.
This is the kind of stuff that makes Huck drool on his keyboard. Pitt is most certainly a double digit favorite on a neutral against the Miners. You have to be getting at least 5 points the better of this number vs. Buffalo.
Matchup wise, Buffalo starts a QB making the second start of his career. And it’ll be against a defense twice as good as the defense in El Paso minus the handjobs. Zach Maynard will have to make plays in the passing game because Buffalo certainly can’t run on Pitt. If you run for less than 4 yards per against UTEP, the going won’t be better against a great Pitt defense. Utep was ranked 105th against the run last year Pitt was 29th.
Without the benefit of a solid rushing attack, I expect some turnovers from the Buff’s QB who’ll be forced to play out of his comfort zone. Bet on a workman like cover for Pitt. Call it 31 to 14.
My one stars without write-ups.
Notre Dame -3 at Michigan. 1 unit.
Two programs on a different trend line. Small number. Give me the Irish 31 to 21.
Southern Miss-14.5 vs. UCF. 1 unit.
S. Miss has gobs of talent on offense. UCF doesn’t have Kevin Smith.
45 to 17.
LA Tech +8 @ Navy.
Navy shot their wad last week. Tough for the sea men to get up for a directional Louisiana school. LA Tech has athletes on defense that can defend the option. 27 to 24 Navy.
Good luck on your wagers.
___________________
Also, check out the Phenomenal one over at Atomic Teeth or some lines he cares about.
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Activity
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dick commented on the blog post Early NCAA Tournament Bets 4 minutes ago
Travis,
63-58 on KenPom for 121. That’s still a really low scoring game
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Scipio Tex commented on the blog post Bracket Breakdown & Gambling Tips 43 minutes ago
Thanks, dick. Interesting perspective.
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dick commented on the blog post The Definitive Bracket: 63 Guaranteed Winners! 1 hour, 7 minutes ago
KB,
You are going to be too smart for your own good. A common fault amongst Bracket makers. There’s a reason why the 55 year old admins win 80% of these things every year.
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dick commented on the blog post Bracket Breakdown & Gambling Tips 1 hour, 11 minutes ago
“which impresses me since I know he didn’t hear the podcast.”
You shouldn’t be, after reading both guys over the past year, KB knows more about basketball and gambling than Millman does and it’s not even close.
A little warning about Chad Millman. I was pretty excited when I heard that ESPN hired a
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Luke wrote a new blog post: Some perspective for a generation of Wildcats 1 hour, 11 minutes ago
Kansas State is beginning the NCAA tournament as a #2 seed with legitimate final four hopes (just ask the president) in less than 24 hours.
I’m going to need a moment to admire that sentence…….
OK, I’m good.
As the anticipation has built over the last few days, I’m sure I’m not the only one who has taken
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whiskey wrote a new blog post: Chalk Talk: The ND 3-4 Transition Part I- Expectations 1 hour, 37 minutes ago
Welcome to the first of what I hope will be many installments of “Chalk Talk” with LB Coach. I am excited to introduce LB Coach as a new contributor to One Foot Down. LB Coach has a significant amount of experience playing football at Notre Dame and on the professional level. He also has a
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dick commented on the blog post Early NCAA Tournament Bets 1 hour, 52 minutes ago
I’ll post all of my first day games tonight.
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srr50 wrote a new blog post: Now THAT’S Taking One For The Team 4 hours, 13 minutes ago
Aggie Corp with “Squeeze Army?”
POSERS
Texas Tech forward Darko Cohadarevic doesn’t just talk the talk — he walks the walk.
Tuesday night Tech faced Seton Hall in a first round NIT contest. With the game tied at 10, Seton Hall forward Herb Pope delivered two below-the-belt blows to Cohadarevic.
After Pope was ejected, Tech went on
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Kevin Berger commented on the blog post Bracket Breakdown & Gambling Tips 5 hours, 56 minutes ago
Louisville has a great chance if Jerry Smith is healthy.
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Kevin Berger commented on the blog post Final Four Prediction 5 hours, 57 minutes ago
Good team that took number 1 seeded Louisville to the wire in last year’s tournament. Start 3 seniors and two juniors, very athletic. Solid pass first point guard. Their leading scorer was player of the year in the conference.
Good club that plays multiple defenses.
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ghostofagroundgame commented on the blog post Bracket Breakdown & Gambling Tips 6 hours, 22 minutes ago
I just took Baylor going to the Elite 8. It’s a crazy mixed up world we live in.
Is it just me, or does it pain anyone else to not be able to determine who is going to beat Duke early? It’s bound to happen, but who will it be?
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Art Vandelay commented on the blog post Final Four Prediction 6 hours, 25 minutes ago
By “we” I meant the Horns. Kevin, why should I take Siena over A&M?
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Kevin Berger commented on the blog post Bracket Breakdown & Gambling Tips 6 hours, 39 minutes ago
colorado ag, Utah State is as athletic as Nebraska. You’ll be fine as long as they don’t go 16 for 31 from three.
Siena, on the other hand, is going to beat you like you stole something. Maybe not, but the Saints should win.
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Kevin Berger commented on the blog post Bracket Breakdown & Gambling Tips 6 hours, 42 minutes ago
Great article Scipio. Also, thanks for the dime.
Looking at the Tournament futures market, Vegas is telling us what they think about Onuaku’s health. The Orangemen have the easiest region and road to the fianl four, yet they’re +700 to win it all, while UK and Kansas, teams with much tougher roads, are +250
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Art Vandelay commented on the blog post Final Four Prediction 6 hours, 47 minutes ago
My brackets are pretty much locked down except the South. Can’t get myself to take Baylor, and Duke doesn’t feel right. Nobody seems to be high on Nova. It’s all about the Big East and Big 12 this year.
It’s a crying shame we suck so bad. We are in a good
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James commented on the blog post Bracket Breakdown & Gambling Tips 6 hours, 58 minutes ago
Scip, like a peaceful Indian in the 1800’s, I never trust a Mormon that can shoot. Utah State has me worried.
If we escape the first weekend, things get very interesting with a potential Sweet 16 match-up with Duke. Ugly up the game and guard like hell on the perimeter in front of a
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Scipio Tex commented on the blog post Bracket Breakdown & Gambling Tips 7 hours, 28 minutes ago
CJD -
Possibly. However, I’m telling you – the beauty of these intergame lines is that when you see that all-too-familiar big early game lead that you know will evaporate down the stretch as soon as the team starts regressing to their 3 point shooting mean, there’s some money to be made.
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Scipio Tex commented on the blog post Bracket Breakdown & Gambling Tips 7 hours, 30 minutes ago
uthookem-
I’d say you have your priorities straight.
colorado -
Anytime. How far do you think the Aggies go? A lot of people think Utah State is the most dangerous pure shooting team in the tournament.
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uthookem commented on the blog post Bracket Breakdown & Gambling Tips 7 hours, 40 minutes ago
Last year in Vegas, Friday morning, stumble to the line at 8:30 to make my bets, put $20 on a four-team parlay on the four 9:00 am games, nailed it! Three of the four games’ spread was determined in the final 0:30. Walked away with $220.
Yeah, so what if that is the only
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James commented on the blog post Sending Aggies to the NFL 7 hours, 41 minutes ago
Jordan, all just wild, premature conjecture. I’d hedge that only a third of that 2013 list ever makes an NFL roster. It is picking which third that is the tough part.
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James commented on the blog post Bracket Breakdown & Gambling Tips 7 hours, 44 minutes ago
Very interesting piece. These games can’t start soon enough. Thanks, Scip.
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Scipio Tex commented on the blog post Final Four Prediction 7 hours, 54 minutes ago
I have:
Syracuse
Kansas
West Virginia
BaylorThese will all likely change 3-4 times before tomorrow morning.
I don’t have as high an opinion of Ohio State as you do. Evan Turner is fantastic, but I don’t like their odds of taking down Georgetown and KU back-to-back.
Baylor scares me. They have no idea what
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Kevin Berger wrote a new blog post: Final Four Prediction 7 hours, 58 minutes ago
Arinze Onuaku’s injury has forced me to turn this year’s bracket prediction into a “Multiple Endings” story. Don’t get me wrong, we’re not hyper-geeks playing Dungeons and Dragons here. We may be wasting billions of dollars in worker productivity, but we’re not killing Orcs with plus 10 vorpal swords of magic.
So, in
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Kevin Berger wrote a new blog post: The Definitive Bracket: 63 Guaranteed Winners! 8 hours, 3 minutes ago
But only if you call now! I’ve gone 85 percent against the numba for the last two decades!! So picking straight up winners is, bada-boom bada-bing, easy! Only Sammy “the nose” Pistachio and Billy “buttercups” Birmingham can approach this many winnaz! It’s ridiculoso, hermoso!!
Call now and we’ll throw in an opening round N-I-T super-dupa live dog
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Scipio Tex commented on the blog post Making it Official: Tighter Officiating’s Effect on the Tournament 8 hours, 4 minutes ago
Awesome write up.
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Scipio Tex wrote a new blog post: Bracket Breakdown & Gambling Tips 8 hours, 11 minutes ago
So I’m listening to Bill Simmons’ podcast and he has on Chad Millman, Vegas Insider. Basically, Chad’s job is to interact with the guys who set the line, professional gamblers, sharps, and wise guys. He had some interesting comments about the tournament:
By the end of the year, markets are fairly efficient as
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Bob Jones commented on the blog post Math… Everyone’s favorite subject 9 hours, 2 minutes ago
As a Baylor fan I loathe math: it’s either inexorably against us or when favorable, completely inapplicable.
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Kevin Berger commented on the blog post Making it Official: Tighter Officiating’s Effect on the Tournament 9 hours, 44 minutes ago
Should have that up soon, ts.
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Nate Heupel wrote a new blog post: Oklahoma Sooners – Recruiting So Far 9 hours, 44 minutes ago
I was reading a thread on OUInsider whining about how a beat writer for a UT website seemed to favoring UT recruits. Get the hell out of here with that nonsense. Next, you’re going to tell me that Oklahoma sports media coverage is slanted towards OU.
While Ketchum’s rankings seemed to be
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J Rog commented on the blog post March Mad(nba)ess! 9 hours, 50 minutes ago
EVERYTHING would be different. Great post!
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doback said:
September 10th, 2009 at 10:06 am
Good look to you too..
Trips Right said:
September 10th, 2009 at 10:25 am
I’m a point guard. Good look has been ingrained.
eskimohorn said:
September 10th, 2009 at 11:01 am
You lost me at “shot their wad” and “tough for the sea man.” Good thing it didn’t last long and was towards the end. You better than that, but not by much.
yojimbox said:
September 10th, 2009 at 11:29 am
Navy doesn’t indulge in letdowns, buddy. They can’t afford to and they all know it. Navy, like all the service academies, win games because they work harder than the civvies. That means they don’t slack off from week-to-week. Sorry, but I got Navy over Tech.
yojimbox said:
September 10th, 2009 at 11:31 am
If anyone’s interested, here are my picks:
Georgia Tech (-5) over Clemson
Army (-1) over Duke
Minnesota (-3 1/2) over Air Force
Kansas (-12 /12) over UTEP
Oregon (-12) over Purdue
CloseToJumping said:
September 10th, 2009 at 11:32 am
You short change Navy by about 20 points. Enjoyed the rest of it.
Scipio Tex said:
September 10th, 2009 at 11:40 am
I’m not getting your Navy pick either. Auburn outgained La Tech 556-245 and had two back go over 100.
I understand that Navy has a different caliber of athlete, but I don’t see the percentages here.
Trips Right said:
September 10th, 2009 at 11:46 am
Clemson under tonight fellas. To the casa.
I’ll expound on my La Tech thoughts in a bit.
srr50 said:
September 10th, 2009 at 11:47 am
Baylor made for a very nice weekend for me on week one.
I like your Pitt pick as well.
I am taking Houston +15 at Oklahoma State. I don’t think the Cowboys totally understand how to handle success, and Sumlin’s team can score on anyone.
dick said:
September 10th, 2009 at 12:04 pm
I hate betting on the Stache so I lean towards buffalo.
I also like Houston going against Okie St. UH offense will have much more success against Okie St with a competent QB and Okie St will have a let down…. and win by 14.
I don’t like taking big favorites, esp on the road, UT would have to want to beat Wyoming by 40 and I’m not sure the fire will be there to do it.
The General said:
September 10th, 2009 at 12:06 pm
There is a gambling law that states: “Divide units by 2, when Wannstache is involved.” Learn it. Live it.
chitwood said:
September 10th, 2009 at 12:09 pm
Trips,
You post on cappingthegame.com?
Vasherized said:
September 10th, 2009 at 12:11 pm
Clearly you’re discounting the research of this Wyoming poster who is boldy predicting a victory.
Navy strikes me as an emotionally stable team that is going to show up every week, run the option for 300 yards and get back on the bus, win or lose. vegaskyle has this one on his card as do a lot of guys from that board so maybe they know something about LA Tech this isn’t obvious from last week’s boxscore. I don’t see the play either.
I prefer Clemson as the home dog + 5.5 tonight against Georgia Tech. Spiller is back this week behind an experienced OL and when Tech wins in this series it hasn’t been by much. Clemson’s formidable D line of Bowers, Sapp, and Jenkins should keep the triple option in check. I’m not big on Clemson’s rookie QB Parker going against a good Yellowjacket secondary but I’m not necessarily predicting a win either, just a cover.
McPuddingpop said:
September 10th, 2009 at 12:15 pm
The Texas, La. Tech, and Notre Dame plays are dead on. Agree with srr50 that the Cougars have the ability to hang with Okie lite and cannot pass up on the 15 points.
For what it’s worth, there’s some gems out there this weekend:
Wash. St. (+2) vs. Hawaii – Wazzoo wasn’t terrible against Stanford (the cardinal will turn some heads this fall) and Hawaii struggled with Cent. Ark.
UAB (-12) vs. SMU – It took a 17 point 4th Q comeback by SMU to beat the Lumberjacks. Meanwhile, UAB handled Rice with ease. Seeing as how Rice and SMU are on about the same level this year, this could get ugly.
Tulsa (-17.5) @ New Mexico – New Mexico is just plain awful. Tulsa is grooming a lot of new starters, but had little trouble with Tulane and will have less trouble with the Lobos.
Oregon State (-7) @ UNLV – another road favorite. I hate those plays, but UNLV is not so bueno. The Rodgers brothers should run roughshod over the Runnin’ Rebs (they really still miss Augmon and LJ).
good luck to all
Trips Right said:
September 10th, 2009 at 12:16 pm
chit, not in a while, but my good buddy VegasKyle does. We cap these things together most every week. We actually went 11-5 collectively last week but posted 3 of the losses here. We’ll post all the games going forward.
Trips Right said:
September 10th, 2009 at 12:21 pm
Vash, I like La Tech because I expect Dooley to get these kids ready to play assignment football. Navy won’t be able to just run it down Tech’s throat like Auburn did. Offensively, Tech has weapons and will score. Getting more than a TD is huge in game that’s likely to be played in the twenties. I’m also expecting a big letdown despite what people may think about the academies. These kids are human.
srr50, I like the Cougs, but I fully expect OSU to take the donut off the Louisville slugger offensively after playing a really good Georgia defense. If you can convince me UH can get to thirty, I’ll play it.
Trips Right said:
September 10th, 2009 at 12:24 pm
puddingpop,
I like all of ‘em alot and will do more research. A methodology of betting against outlandish sucktitude is usually solid the first few weeks of the season.
chitwood said:
September 10th, 2009 at 12:25 pm
I thought you guys capped together, as he has his picks up there and they are similar. Keep bringing the good stuff.
Vasherized said:
September 10th, 2009 at 12:34 pm
If Navy can move the ball on the road against Ohio State, why wouldn’t they be able to at home against Louisiana Tech?
Dissenting opinion stands. I like the rest of your card.
One more I added is UNC -5 @ UConn.
txindc said:
September 10th, 2009 at 1:00 pm
Sorry, I know we’re supposed to be talking about the weekly picks here, but I had a question about one of your statements about the Texas game:
“Despite all the woes Texas has running the ball, the Oline is a pass protection juggernaut and may be one of the top two or three units in the country in this respect.”
Is this really true? I can’t help but think of the numerous times Colt has been popped. I can see it being because of him holding onto the ball for too long, but it’s hard to judge that.
On the other hand, the stats say we were middle of the pack last year: http://web1.ncaa.org/d1mfb/natlRank.jsp?year=2008&div=4&rpt=IA_teamsacksallowed&site=org
26 sacks allowed in the season (compared to Tech and OU with 13 each, Florida Atlantic with 16, and Mizzou with 17).
They’re experienced, and they’re getting better, but personal viewing and the stats make me doubt we’ve got a juggernaut of a line.
Phenomenal Smith said:
September 10th, 2009 at 1:16 pm
What is Vegas Kyle’s lock this week? Pin and needles I’m on.
Trips Right said:
September 10th, 2009 at 1:25 pm
What are your picks, yoda?
CloseToJumping said:
September 10th, 2009 at 1:25 pm
txindc–
I think part of what Trips has to be taking into account is how often we throw the ball compared to everyone else. Granted, Tech and OU were better last year, but they won’t be this year. How many sacks per attempt each team has seems like the way it should be measured. Steele does that, so maybe the stats are out there somewhere.
Trips–
If you want to make it interesting or have trouble reaching your guy, feel to let me know on La Tech. I’ll give the same points and there’s no cap for me on what you’d like to put down. We could meet for a beer next week if you still live in Houston and settle over a brewskie. I watched both teams play last weekend and see it differently. Auburn is terrible and La Tech is worse. Derek Dooley may have a bloodline, but Tech was something like 2-7-2 against the spread last year, and they look worse this season.
I also can’t believe you’re betting on Pornstedt. That’s like betting on Joe Tiller.
I really wish there was an easy way to bet online these days, as I like a lot of the games out there this weekend. The Tulsa matchup is the prettiest.
Trips Right said:
September 10th, 2009 at 1:31 pm
CTJ, that’s cool we can do that. I still live in Houston.
I’ll shoot you an email.
nordberg said:
September 10th, 2009 at 1:40 pm
“Granted, Tech and OU were better last year”
I would have no problems adopting some of their, uh, “techniques”.
srr50 said:
September 10th, 2009 at 1:56 pm
I prefer Clemson as the home dog + 5.5 tonight against Georgia Tech.
I might too Vash, except the game is in Atlanta. I took Ga. Tech at home.
September 10th, 2009 at 1:58 pm
“I prefer Clemson as the home dog + 5.5 tonight against Georgia Tech. Spiller is back this week behind an experienced OL and when Tech wins in this series it hasn’t been by much. Clemson’s formidable D line of Bowers, Sapp, and Jenkins should keep the triple option in check. I’m not big on Clemson’s rookie QB Parker going against a good Yellowjacket secondary but I’m not necessarily predicting a win either, just a cover.”
I’m pretty sure Ga Tech is the home team tonight… I think Clemson struggles with assignment football in Swinney’s debut against a very well-coached Tech team. I like Tech and Navy to cover easily, but then again I’ve always been a cheap date for the triple option.
Phenomenal Smith said:
September 10th, 2009 at 2:04 pm
Picks I do not make for soon parted are a fool and his money.
yojimbox said:
September 10th, 2009 at 2:27 pm
As others have said, G.Tech is home tonight. Plus, I saw that Clemson-Middle Tennessee State game, and no way they win that game by 23 if MTS even bothered to cover kick-offs and punt returns. Clemson got an easy 14 from two returns for TDs, but otherwise they had issues moving the ball on MTS all day long and got most of their scores from home runs. G.Tech won’t have issues with that tonight.
Vasherized said:
September 10th, 2009 at 2:36 pm
Ga Tech being the home team certainly changes that bet. I’m not sure which shady betting web site I frequent listed Clemson as the home team. It’s off the card but I still like the under.
Thanks for the correction, it probably saved me some cash.
Huckleberry said:
September 10th, 2009 at 2:46 pm
2008 Texas Team Stats
#53 nationally in adjusted sacks allowed per pass attempt
kevwun said:
September 10th, 2009 at 2:56 pm
Trips, which website do you get the lines from?
Groundhog Day said:
September 10th, 2009 at 3:38 pm
How many people on this board like UNC -4? I have to believe the talent disparity is tremendous.
Groundhog Day said:
September 10th, 2009 at 3:39 pm
Also, UNLV over Oregon State is Phil Steele’s 4star bet of the week. He was right on the mark with Texas A&M as his four star last week.
dick said:
September 10th, 2009 at 4:03 pm
La Tech was down 13-10 in the Auburn red zone a few minutes into the 2nd half. They threw a pick inside the 10, Auburn threw a 93 yard TD soon thereafter to go up 20-10 and it all went downhill from there. Up until that point, La Tech was trying to win that game SU. Gus Malzahn will have the Auburn offense putting up a lot of yards this year bc that is what his offenses do. I don’t think it’s that unreasonable to think La Tech can lose by a TD or less to the mighty Midshipmen coming off their game against tOSU.
I do disagree with the Pitt bet still. You are reading into what Vegas is trying to tell you when in fact, Vegas is telling you something else. It’s telling you, Beware the Stache.
There are a lot of ridiculous ATS stats going for Clemson tonight against GT. First off, this is a line that looks to good to be true to a lot of people, ala the Washington line against LSU last week. The road team and/or underdog covers 80+% of the time in the past 15 years of this series. I’m pretty sure Dabo coached against GT last year so this isn’t his debut. The under is probably a better bet.
ctj, it is very easy to bet online still. a couple of great sites are no longer available but it’s still pretty easy. right now is the best time too since all the sites are doing their deposit bonuses for first NFL weekend.
CloseToJumping said:
September 10th, 2009 at 4:08 pm
dick–
Help a man out, then. If you don’t feel great about doing it publicly, send me something at castingaspersions@yahoo.com if you don’t mind.
dick said:
September 10th, 2009 at 4:26 pm
Did your parents name you Casting Aspersions? It all makes a little more sense now.
I’ll PM you on SB, assuming that’s your handle there too.
CloseToJumping said:
September 10th, 2009 at 4:44 pm
Sure, closetojumping is what I use there. That works. CastingAspersions would have been an awesome name.
dick said:
September 10th, 2009 at 4:57 pm
Just sent it to you, it’s pretty long but I added some good info from my own experiences. Those are awesome sites, once you get it all setup, you are golden. Good luck.
panchoclaus said:
September 10th, 2009 at 6:33 pm
I hope we don’t get untracked, whatever that means. I hope we get on track.
dick said:
September 10th, 2009 at 7:11 pm
Over 17.5 on the 2nd half O/U in the Titans/Pitt game looks decent. They scored 14 with two missed FGs in the first half. Now both teams have moved to the shotgun and seem to be moving the ball much easier, plus no Polomalu.
CloseToJumping said:
September 10th, 2009 at 10:00 pm
Kudos to dick for hooking me up with a place to go. Appreciate it.
dick said:
September 10th, 2009 at 10:13 pm
Vasherized, you had the Clem/GT game capped right regardless of location.
I’d also like to send a huge thanks to Michael Griffin for stripping Hines Ward inside the 5 yard line and saving those of us getting 6 tonight. And for that pick in the Rose Bowl, that play didn’t get the attention it deserved.
I really like Iowa -6 against ISU in what is sadly being called “Farm-ageddon”. The public is backing Iowa St (red alert when public backs an underdog) and Iowa will bounce back from their near loss to N. Iowa, who isn’t as bad as people think.
dick said:
September 10th, 2009 at 10:14 pm
Not a problem, CTJ. People that use actual people bookies remind me of people that still go to an actual teller to do their banking. Online is the way to go.
johnnymac said:
September 11th, 2009 at 6:46 am
I was on G Tech -5 twice last night, one bet on the side alone and one bet as a parlay with the over 45.
I was right there was going to be a lot of points scored and Tech would pound the freshman QB, but Tech quit after getting up 24-0 and almost lost in the end. That was a painful one to watch.
huge said:
September 11th, 2009 at 10:11 am
i cant believe clemson came back last night. i was on them +5 and after that timeout/fieldgoalpunt, well, that was a special kind of bad
bartoncreek said:
September 11th, 2009 at 2:59 pm
O.k. I’ll play. But you all should be paying me.
U of H +15.5 2
Vandy +14.5 1
Georgia -7 1
Wake Forest -3 2
Miss. St. +14 1
Oregon -12.5 2
Penn St. -28.5 2
Ohio St. +6.5 3
Tulane +18.5 1
UTEP +12.5 1
TCU, UNC and Navy are scare spreads that all should avoid.
Trips Right said:
September 11th, 2009 at 3:34 pm
I’m intrigued by your double digit dogs and wish to subscribe to your newsletter.
3teamer said:
September 12th, 2009 at 7:02 am
Value play w/ Stanford. A. Luck is the real deal. Great spring game a good numbers last week in his first college action. Zero coverage on this 6′ 3″ 225 red shirt frosh. Lac 10 rookie of the year (you saw it first right here). Not putting them in my 3teamer just yet. I’ll go w/ trips
Pitt, UT & Irish
CloseToJumping said:
September 12th, 2009 at 8:13 am
I don’t know what a scare spread is, but I know that UNC is going to absolutely break UConn in half.
dick said:
September 12th, 2009 at 9:01 am
Stanford playing an 8AM game for them will be tough.
UNC might not have the offense to break UConn in half.
dick said:
September 12th, 2009 at 9:10 am
Now if UConn gives away TDs to the UNC defense….
Scipio Tex said:
September 12th, 2009 at 10:32 am
Never trust a Pac 10 team when they play the early morning game East. I refer you to Cal-Maryland last year. It takes them a quarter and a half to wake up.
sizzlechest said:
September 12th, 2009 at 11:12 am
dick’s new handle should be Nostradick.
sizzlechest said:
September 12th, 2009 at 11:15 am
Scipio’s new handle should be FuckYouWakeForest.
dick said:
September 12th, 2009 at 12:21 pm
Scipio, that was my thinking in the Wake game too but in this case, Stanford jumped out ready to play and Wake came back and won it in the end. Luck played well for his first road game in a tough situation.
CloseToJumping said:
September 12th, 2009 at 11:16 pm
I was clearly wrong in the UNC take. Man. That OL is absolutely pathetic.
I also lost betting on Farley Weis and Notre Dame.
I won on Navy, UCLA, TCU, Tulsa and Ohio State.
Today was a fun day for me.