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Big 12 Betting: Week 6

Posted by Scipio Tex on November 5th, 2008 under Football

After a horrendous 2-4 Week 5, my record is now 16-13-1 ATS. I’m still batting over .500, but it’s time I put one out of the yard. This is that week.

OU – 26 @ A&M

No one – no one! – goes into College Station and beats the Aggies. Except for football teams with 85 scholarships. My personal over/under on Oklahoma yardage is 540. Jerrod Johnson’s development is coming along swimmingly though he still has turnover pneumonia. I like Oklahoma to walk the line.

OU – 52
A&M – 24

OSU +3.5 @ Texas Tech

I find these two teams to be equal so I’ll take the three and a half. Lubbock will find Dez Bryant more troubling than a Negro president. Don’t be surprised to see one of Tech’s first drives involve a 3rd and 40 – whether deserved or not. The league office wants to make a statement and all of that. Sadly, Big 12 officiating is now starting to resemble NBA basketball – but with less organ music and fewer flopping Argentines. The OSU gameplan is simple: Hunter, Hunter, Robinson, Hunter, Toston. Pepper in some Dez Bryant bombs to keep a girl honest and you’ve got more ball control than Hillary.

OSU – 39
Tech – 38

Iowa State @ CU -9.5

The most tiresome burden of picking all Big 12 contests is precisely this sort of trainwreck. Neither team can score. Colorado can borderline defend, but their special teams look like Starr Jones on a Sybian. Iowa State’s football coffin makes them accustomed to oxygen deprivation so altitude will present little challenge. Colorado has been scouting a local junior high to simulate Chizik’s defensive complexity. So tossup on the intangibles. The game is in Boulder, so I suppose CU cobbles together enough points to win before an intense gameday crowd of 36,000. Whatev. I’m totally stok’d for ski season, bra!!!!

CU – 24
ISU – 13

Kansas St @ Mizzou -27

Trusting a Mizzou team that eked out a win in Waco to cover a massive spread is dubious, but watching Kansas State implode and quit in Lawrence signaled the death knell of the Prince era. Vegas is betting that KSU is a team that has quit on their season and I’m not sure they’re wrong. Missouri seems to handle the dregs of the North (read: all teams in the North) with some alacrity and the coach, did, umm, quit. Gimli rolls.

Missouri – 51
Kansas St – 19

KU -1 @ NU

This is basically picking a straight up winner and winning in Lincoln isn’t the mental block it once was to the former Big 8. Indeed, they take a special glee in sticking it to the junior high bully that tied them to the tetherball pole and threw their digital watch into a harvesting combine. Now the bully is unemployed, penniless, and living at their folks while Kansas drives by grinning in their ‘99 Toyota Camry with a steady job at the post office. Postal Auditor Grade Four, motherfucka! How ya like me now?

Kansas – 31
Nebraska – 27

Baylor +28 @ Texas

Baylor is one of the more decent bad record teams in the NCAA featuring a fairly brutal schedule brimming with moral victories. Robert Griffin is Der Wunderkind and he’ll show his wares in Austin. Fozzy Whittaker’s 14 carries will offer us hope of a running game and TE participation in our offense will be limited when Applewhite hides Greg Davis’ I fomation laminated playsheet. Bottom line: we have a 11:00 am lazy Saturday kickoff in a game that we expect to win right after a heartbreaking loss. S-L-E-E-P-W-A-L-K.

Texas – 44
Baylor – 21

Pick it apart.

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28 Responses

  1. utstudent said:

    November 5th, 2008 at 1:14 pm

    “Starr Jones on a Sybian”, really? you had to go there? good read, loved it.

  2. ponderos said:

    November 5th, 2008 at 1:19 pm

    OU – 26 @ A&M

    OU covers in the first quarter.

  3. Trips Right said:

    November 5th, 2008 at 1:26 pm

    Only quibble is Nebraska. I think this will be their statement game.

  4. ATXHornsFan said:

    November 5th, 2008 at 1:28 pm

    Great read.

    “Postal Auditor Grade Four, motherfucka! How ya like me now?”

    Where is the crystal meth reference?

  5. dedfischer said:

    November 5th, 2008 at 1:37 pm

    Nice, my biggest concern is our kicking game. That has to catch up with us in the next two games.

  6. jc25 said:

    November 5th, 2008 at 1:48 pm

    My biggest concern is trying to remember who Starr Jones is without googling her at work.

  7. jc25 said:

    November 5th, 2008 at 1:48 pm

    Scip, you should’ve just gone with Cytherea and made it easier on me. But I guess that would’ve just been plain lazy.

  8. Minnesotahorn said:

    November 5th, 2008 at 1:51 pm

    Ha. I just googled sybian at work. How did I not know better?

  9. dedfischer said:

    November 5th, 2008 at 1:52 pm

    Am I sick in the head for not having to google it?

  10. ATXHornsFan said:

    November 5th, 2008 at 1:56 pm

    I think Cytherea is much more the Monkey Rocker type.

  11. jc25 said:

    November 5th, 2008 at 2:01 pm

    ded,

    No. Well, maybe.

  12. dick said:

    November 5th, 2008 at 3:21 pm

    not sick in the head, just “advanced”

  13. Tim said:

    November 5th, 2008 at 5:32 pm

    I guess ya’ll have not learned your lesson about picking against Texas Tech. I guess having the longest winning streak in the country means nothing when you blog for Barking Carnival.

  14. Trips Right said:

    November 5th, 2008 at 6:11 pm

    When Tim here, we be quiet…
    But when Tim leave, we be talkin’ again.

  15. Bartoncreek said:

    November 5th, 2008 at 6:17 pm

    I know that I’m in the minority, but I don’t see how Tech can possibly win this week. If they keep it under two scores I will be back to eat my words. Last time I didn’t have to, I don’t expect this time to be any different. But we shall see.

  16. The Tortilla Retort » Blog Archive » Oklahoma State Prediction said:

    November 5th, 2008 at 6:40 pm

    [...] disagrees, here, though he does make an interesting hobbit reference. addthis_url = location.href; [...]

  17. BiggUggly said:

    November 6th, 2008 at 4:48 am

    Having seen both teams up close and in person, I believe that OSU will score at least 50 on West Texas Body and Fender (tech).

    Sheer idiocy at the OC position will not afflict OSU as it did Texas.

  18. dedfischer said:

    November 6th, 2008 at 4:51 am

    “Sheer idiocy at the OC position will not afflict OSU as it did Texas.”

    You’ve got a point there. That’s my only reservation about Texas representing the Big 12 in the MNC game. I don’t trust Greg Davis schematicly against an SEC defense. Maybe Major could talk some sense into him between now and January, but I’m not positive.

  19. '01 Ag said:

    November 6th, 2008 at 5:24 am

    aTm covers. OU generally plays down in C Station. And aTm is great at scoring quickly in junk time. See KSU v. aTm. Not saying it’s going to be close, just saying aTm keeps it within four scores.

  20. 98horn said:

    November 6th, 2008 at 6:06 am

    “… but their special teams look like Starr Jones on a Sybian.”

    I just threw up a little. Thanks for the mental image, a$$hole.

  21. Art Vandelay said:

    November 6th, 2008 at 6:35 am

    “Sadly, Big 12 officiating is now starting to resemble NBA basketball – but with less organ music and fewer flopping Argentines.”

    Classic!!

    I agree that Texas won’t cover. I also think Missouri hangs 60 on K State.

  22. Vasherized said:

    November 6th, 2008 at 6:57 am

    dedfischer has trust issues when it comes to Texas football.

  23. ponderos said:

    November 6th, 2008 at 7:08 am

    “Could get ugly” will depend on your perspective this weekend.

  24. hiphopopotamus said:

    November 6th, 2008 at 7:23 am

    You’ve certainly got some cajones in taking Colorado to score four times in a single game. Then again, Iowa State has a way of making the impossible happen.

  25. Dunstan Pearl said:

    November 6th, 2008 at 7:31 am

    I’m sure Tim will come back and take his lumps if Tech happens to lose to OSU. I’m very confident in this.

  26. beowulf said:

    November 6th, 2008 at 1:23 pm

    Nebraska/Kansas is the 3rd most important Big 12 for me this weekend. They need to beat Nebraska and Mizzou then see us again in the B12CG.

  27. Gene Claude said:

    November 7th, 2008 at 8:37 am

    Wondering what the chances of UT making NCG are under a variety of circumstances?

  28. dick said:

    November 10th, 2008 at 6:35 am

    Baylor -8 this weekend makes me chortle. I know this is will be discussed again this week. We actually might be 30 point favorites over the ags. Vegas thinks Baylor is 5 pts better than ags on a neutral field assuming 3 pts for homefield.

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  • Scipio Tex commented on the blog post Bracket Breakdown & Gambling Tips   14 hours, 33 minutes ago

    CJD -

    Possibly. However, I’m telling you – the beauty of these intergame lines is that when you see that all-too-familiar big early game lead that you know will evaporate down the stretch as soon as the team starts regressing to their 3 point shooting mean, there’s some money to be made.

  • Scipio Tex commented on the blog post Bracket Breakdown & Gambling Tips   14 hours, 35 minutes ago

    uthookem-

    I’d say you have your priorities straight.

    colorado -

    Anytime. How far do you think the Aggies go? A lot of people think Utah State is the most dangerous pure shooting team in the tournament.

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